Discover how biased expectations theory impacts interest rates by incorporating investor preferences and risks, beyond just ...

The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...

Colin is an Associate Editor focused on tech and financial news. He has more than three years of experience editing, proofreading, and fact-checking content on current financial events and politics.

Treasury yield simulations project 3‑month bills at 1%–2% in 10 years; curves show widening risk premiums, inversion odds and ...

No foolproof formula predicts the economy in general or recessions in particular, but one of the indicator does a better job than the others: the yield curve. If one plots a chart of interest rates ...

Much has been made about an impending recession. The reasons, however, are seldom discussed, are even less understood, and do little to inform what actions investors should take (if any). Economists ...

Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell at a news conference after the June 2022 meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee at the Federal Reserve headquarters in Washington, D.C. The yield ...

Inverted Yields, Negative Rates, and U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward ...

Yield curves plot bond yields against their maturities, helping predict economic trends. Inverted yield curves suggest potential economic downturns, impacting investment choices. Understanding yield ...

The “experts” talk about how the U.S. Treasury Curve is currently “inverted.” What does that mean, and should it matter to lenders? The fact is, the yield curve (a graphical representation of yields, ...