When worries that the U.S. economy was barreling toward recession went viral in the late summer of 2019, the term "yield curve" was transformed into clickbait, a designation typically reserved for ...

One of the most reliable indicators for the state of economic conditions in the U.S. over the past 75 years has been the shape of the Treasury yield curve. Taking the difference between the yield of a ...

The U.S. Treasury yield curve, one of the most reliable signals of recession, is flashing red again. As of March 2025, the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields remains inverted, a ...

Most are aware that an inverted yield curve portends a market top and an impending recession. Few are aware, however, that the opposite - the movement from the inverted curve to a steep positive curve ...

An inverted yield curve indicates short-term rates exceed long-term, suggesting economic caution. Historically, consistent negative spreads on this curve have preceded recessions. Investors might ...

Inverted yield curves happen when bonds with shorter maturity periods have higher yields than bonds with longer maturity periods. Under normal circumstances, it’s the other way around. Since ...

The natural slope of the yield curve is positive, meaning short-term interest rates are lower than long-term interest rates. There are periods where the curve inverts and, most importantly, a ...

Here at The Indicator we've been on recession watch ever since the yield curve inverted at the end of last year. For the uninitiated, the yield curve shows different interest rates on government bonds ...

The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...