Tax Foundation estimates that Trump’s tariffs will raise $2.1 trillion in revenue over the next decade, but that dips to $1.6 trillion after accounting for foreign retaliation and other negative economic effects. The Congressional Budget Office has projected tariff revenue of $3.3 trillion over a decade.

Throughout 2025, President Donald Trump repeatedly asserted that his controversial tariff policy would result in $2,000 dividend checks for taxpaying Americans who meet a certain income threshold, at ...